Polls show O'Toole is the favourite. Voters don't seem convinced.

Last week, the three polling firms that have surveyed Canadians daily since the start of the campaign (namely Nanos Research, Mainstreet Research and EKOS) all measured a gradual deterioration in support for the Liberal Party of Canada in favour of the Conservative Party.

Naturally, we eagerly awaited the next wave of data from the other firms taking the pulse of Canadians to see whether the trends of week two had continued. Since Monday, the Angus Reid Institute, Abacus Data, Léger and Ipsos have all released their updates and, while the numbers for each survey vary by a few points, they all observed the same general movement: If the election had been held this week, the Conservative Party of Canada would almost certainly have won the popular vote (as it did in 2019) and would have been the favourites to win the most seats in Canada, even though, let it be noted, the race remains extremely tight at this point. (See the complete list of federal polls here.)

Read this column here.

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.