The Conservatives keep falling behind

In what was probably the last round of federal polling until the summer break (and perhaps until the writ is drawn up in August?), numbers of late have shown the Conservative Party of Canada and its leader Erin O'Toole falling further behind the governing Liberals. In the second half of June (see complete list here), several polling firms have measured the LPC leading the Conservatives by double digits nationally, namely Mainstreet Research, Abacus Data, Ipsos, and Nanos Research (data paywalled here). Research Co. measures the Liberals leading by 8 points, while Léger sees a closer race with a four-point gap between the LPC and CPC.

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Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à