Holiday projection and some tinkering

It's the Holidays, so I am trying out a new graph. On the x-axis: the LPC seat projections for 10k simulations (chosen at random among the 250k simulations); On the y-axis: the CPC seat projections for those same 10k simulations.

Red dots are Liberal pluralities or majorities (depending on the area, see labels). Blue dots are Conservative pluralities or majorities (although there are zero majorities this week for the CPC).

The shaded ellipse contains 95% of all simulations:

Considering we could have a federal election as early as this spring, now is the time to tinker with the site and try stuff out. 

The full projection can be found here. See the interactive map here, and all 338 district projections here. I have been making some adjustments to the site, so you may have to do a hard refresh (CTRL-F5) to see the updated data on the main page.

Next projection will be in 2021. Take care and stay safe, dear readers. 

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à