Good Sunday, dear readers. Here is a quick 338Canada federal update for November 15, 2020.
Polls from Léger, the Angus Reid Institute, and Nanos Research this week did little to change the national seat projections. The Liberals still stand near the threshold of majority with an average of 168 seats.
As for the popular vote projections, the Liberals lead the way with 36 per cent on average - five point ahead of the Conservative's average support:
Here are all the vote projections since January 2020. As you can see, after a significant Liberal bump in the spring and a Liberal slide after the WE-Charity affair came to light in July and August, the projections have pretty much all plateaued since.
As it currently stands, the Liberals would remain favourite to win the most seats by a significant margins. Of all 250,000 simulations performed by the 338Canada model, the LPC wins the most seats in 19 of 20 simulations.
That's all for today. More to come soon. Find your home districts in the regional links below:
Have a great week, dear readers. Be kind, stay sane, and stay safe.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics
and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media
request, please write to info@Qc125.com.
Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.