Trump's possible paths to victory

With less than two weeks to go in the election campaign south of the border, national polls still overwhelmingly show Joe Biden as the favourite in the race over President Donald Trump. Indeed, the national numbers measure that Biden is holding on to a relatively comfortable lead of 8 to 10 points on average, which has remained mostly stable - give or take a point - since the middle of summer.

Nevertheless, we know all too well that it is not the popular vote that ultimately decides the presidency, but the Electoral College. On this front, the state polls measure a somewhat closer race than the national polls, even though Biden should still be considered the favourite.

Read this column.

For detailed projections of the U.S. presidential race, visit the 338Canada USA page here. Projections will be updated daily until election day. Follow 338Canada on Twitter.

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à