338Canada federal update - October 18, 2020

Good Sunday evening dear readers, 

Another busy week ahead: It is the last week of both the British Columbia and Saskatchewan election campaigns. Look for more polls and projections for both provinces in the coming week, with a final 338Canada projection coming on the respective eve of voting day (Saturday October 24 for B.C., Monday October 26 for Saskatchewan).

Also, the never-ending campaign south the of the border is, well, ending soon. Look for updates on the U.S. presidential projection daily here

Here is a quick federal update. As usual, you will find all the federal polls on this page.

Here are this week's 338Canada popular vote projections for October 18, 2020: 

The Liberals remain in the lead nationally with an average of 36 per cent. The Conservatives stand five points behind at 31 per cent on average. These numbers have remained mostly stable for the past month.

Here are the 338Canada seat projections for this week:

The Liberals' average is at 170 seats, right on the threshold for a majority at the House of Commons. 

With those numbers, the Liberals win the most seats in 95% of simulations:

You will find your home district here, or use these regional pages below:

The interactive map is available here

Have a great week, dear readers. Be kind to others, and stay safe. 

Follow 338Canada on Twitter here. Like 338Canada on Facebook here

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.