Abacus Data: Liberals hold 8-point lead

Fresh new federal numbers from Abacus Data were published this morning. Liberals remains on top, but by a smaller margin than Léger and Mainstreet have shown lately.

Nationally, the Liberals lead with 39 per cent of the decided voters. The Conservatives are second with 31 per cent:

Regionally, Abacus has the Liberals ahead by 13 points in Ontario, which in theory would make a Conservative victory - even a minority - completely out of reach.

In Quebec, Abacus has roughly the same numbers from the 2019 federal election, with the Liberals and Bloc battling for first place.

Abacus' poll report, which includes all regional numbers, can be found here. You may find all federal polls listed on this page. I'll have a longer and more detailed analysis this weekend. All 338 projections will be updated on Sunday as per usual.

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.