338 Alberta update: Jason Kenney's UCP still comfortably ahead in Alberta

One year after its majority victory in April 2019, the United Conservative Party still leads the field in voting intentions in Alberta according to the latest 338Canada projection. Although data has been scarce out of Alberta this spring (and understandably so), we present today this quick Alberta projection update.

The UCP leads with a projected average of 47 per cent province-wide. The Alberta NDP trails by double digits, with a projection average of 37 per cent:

Naturally, since the NDP vote is concentrated in Alberta's urban areas (especially Edmonton), the UCP still enjoys a clear advantage in the seat projection:

In the 50,000 simulations performed by the 338Canada model, the UCP wins an average of 53 seats, twenty more than the Alberta NDP:

Alberta's district projections are available on these regional pages:

... or you will find all 87 district projections on this page.

More updates when fresh data becomes available. Have a great Sunday, dear readers. Stay safe.

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.