338Canada federal projection update - Oct.6, 2019

It seems as though voting intentions have been stuck in place for a while now. Liberals and Conservatives mostly tied at the top (although Nanos now show a 4-point lead for the Grits, we'll see if it holds), and the seat projection slightly leaning towards the Liberals.

But some movement in Canada's second most populous province could have national consequences if proven correct in the following days. Indeed, the Bloc québécois may be ticking upwards again.

A longer analysis will be published tomorrow. I need some rest tonight.

Here are the top line numbers for the national seat projection:

Liberals are still about 2-to-1 favourites to win the most seats.

You may notice the map of southern Quebec has more light blue in it...

Find your district in this list:

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.