Will the SCN-Lavalin saga hurt the Liberals (again) ?

It was an abnormally busy summer week on the federal front with the publication of the Ethics Commissioner's report on the SNC-Lavalin story, a saga that took the country by storm (and lasted well into the spring), which then caused Justin Trudeau and the Liberals to take a serious tumble in voting intentions across the country.

Before we present this week's update, we should preface by pointing out that none of the polls added to the 338Canada model this week have been on the field since the publication of the Ethics Commissioner's report. However, considering that no fewer than 18 federal polls were published last March and 16 more in April, I am willing to bet that many of Canada's polling firms are planning new releases soon.

Read this projection's full analysis here.




The map of the 338 Projection has been updated and is available on this page. Use this list to find your federal electoral district:


Have a great weekend!




Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.


Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.