The latest 338Canada projection: The Liberals keep hanging on

The Conservatives remain in first place in the popular vote projection, albeit with an average lead significantly smaller than the model's uncertainty. The Conservatives sit at an average of 34.4 per cent and the Liberals, 32.7 per cent. Consider the following graph:

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Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à