Léger/JdM poll: LPC 34, CPC 33, Greens 12, NDP 12

Fresh federal numbers have been published this morning from Léger in Le Journal de Montréal.

Here are the results of decided and leaning voters:

Considering the poll's estimated uncertainty, this result should - once again - be viewed as a statistical tie between the Liberals and Conservatives. Neverthess, it is worth mentioning that, for the first time since late last fall, Léger - one of the most trustworthy polling firms in Canada - measures the Liberals on top of voting intentions in Canada.

The regional numbers of this poll are devastating for the Conservatives. They are trailing the Liberals in the Atlantic provinces and Quebec by double digits, Ontario (+7pts) and British Columbia (+8pts).

Additionally, we should add that the NDP and Greens are once again tied for third place. In the past week, the NDP projection has taken a dive for the worse and these new numbers will not help.

A more detailed analysis will be published tomorrow. Stay tuned.

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The 338Canada projections have been updated. You may find the complete map here.

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Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.