The Ontario provincial model is back online after a one-year hiatus. Many of those who followed along last year (back when the site was in French only) during the provincial election have asked to have the model relaunched, and here it is. The Ontario pages may still contain a few scattered bugs, and if you find some, I would really appreciate if you could warn me so I can fix them.
Obviously, the Ontario provincial election is scheduled three years from now, so the numbers shown below do not have predictive value: they only represent a snapshot of the landscape according to the data currently available - which is in limited amount.
The Ontario provincial polls will be listed on this page, and the projection will be updated when new data becomes available.
You can find your provincial electoral districts in the following list:
Here is the popular vote projection, as of July 23rd, 2019:
Since the numbers are so close between the top three parties, the seat projection is a complete mystery. The uncertainty is abnormally high - but then again, this is what the data shows.
The complete map of the projection can be found here.
Thank you for supporting 338Canada. Have a great week.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.
Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.
Obviously, the Ontario provincial election is scheduled three years from now, so the numbers shown below do not have predictive value: they only represent a snapshot of the landscape according to the data currently available - which is in limited amount.
The Ontario provincial polls will be listed on this page, and the projection will be updated when new data becomes available.
You can find your provincial electoral districts in the following list:
- Toronto, 25 districts
- GTA, 28 districts
- Ottawa, 8 districts
- Eastern Ontario, 8 districts
- Hamilton-Niagara, 12 districts
- Southwestern Ontario, 23 districts
- Central Ontario, 7 districts
- Northern Ontario, 13 districts
Here is the popular vote projection, as of July 23rd, 2019:
Since the numbers are so close between the top three parties, the seat projection is a complete mystery. The uncertainty is abnormally high - but then again, this is what the data shows.
The complete map of the projection can be found here.
Thank you for supporting 338Canada. Have a great week.
Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.
Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.