Léger/Canadian Press: Conservative Lead Shrinks to 3 Points Over Liberals

The reputable polling firm Léger had not been on the field since early June. Back then its federal voting intentions showed the Conservatives at 38% nationally, comfortably ahead of the Liberals at 29%. Léger's numbers were similar to other firms such as Angus Reid and Ipsos, which all measured the CPC well ahead of Trudeau's Liberals.

Since then, several firms - with the exception of Ipsos - have detected an increase of Liberal support and a tightening of the horse race.

Léger was back on the field last week and its new numbers are out this morning, courtesy of the Canadian Press. What was a 9-point lead for the Conservatives is now a three-point lead:

The full poll report should be made available in the next few hours (edit: here is Léger's full report).

In the regional breakdown, Léger detected a major shift in Ontario, where the Conservatives and Liberals are now tied. The CPC led by ten points in Ontario in Léger's previous poll.

Once again, there has been plenty of new data this week. As usual, you can expect a full 338 federal update this Sunday.

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.