338 Federal Projection Update: May 26th 2019

Once again, there was little movement in the measured voting intentions this week. The only published poll was the Nanos weekly update.

Some minor tweaks and adjustments were also made to the model. Naturally, if Jody Wilson-Raybould does announce she is joining the Green Party of Canada tomorrow, it could have a significant effect on the projections, especially in Vancouver and BC.
Here is the 338 Federal Update for May 26th 2019. The full list of polls can be found on this page.

Seat Projection

The complete regional breakdown per party can be found on these pages:

Odds of Winning the Most Seats

According to this week's numbers, the Conservatives win the most seats in about three quarters of all 250k simulations performed by the model.

Regional Distribution

The map of the 338 Projection has been updated and is available on this page. Use this list to find your federal electoral district:

Only 148 days until the federal election... Have a great long weekend!

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.