Angus Reid Institute: UCP 52%, NDP 39%, AP 6%

A new Alberta poll from the Angus Reid Institute was published this morning and its results seem to converge towards the current narrative: the UCP leads by double digits, but the NDP has closed the gap significantly since the writ was drawn up in mid-March.

Angus Reid was on the field from April 5th to 8th and collected a sample of 807 Albertan voters. Here are the results:

The United Conservative Party receives 52% support from decided voters, a drop of 4 points since March. With such support, the UCP would win a comfortable majority at the LAA next Tuesday.

The NDP climbs to 39% support, an increase of 8 points since ARI was last on the field a month ago. From a 25 point deficit, the NDP has narrowed the gap to only 13 points and is polling closer and closer to its 2015 result of 41%.

This poll will be added to the 338 Alberta projection in time for the next update tomorrow morning. Stay tuned.

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Here is the poll full report from ARI.

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à