338Canada Projection Update: December 9th 2018

Using polls published in the past few weeks (here is the full list), I updated the projections for all 338 federal districts.



You can access those projections by region:

• Atlantic provinces , 32 districts;
• Québec, 78 districts;
• Ontario, 121 districts;
• Prairies (MB/SK), 28 districts;
• Alberta, 34 districts
• British Columbia, 42 districts;
• Territories, 3 districts.

This 338Canada Projection includes the following political parties: the Liberal Party of Canada, the Conservative Party of Canada, the New Democratic Party, the Green Party of Canada, the Bloc québécois, and the People's Party of Canada.

Here are the regional breakdowns per party:

• The Liberal Party of Canada;
• The Conservative Party of Canada;
• The New Democratic Party;
• The Green Party of Canada;
• The Bloc québécois;
• The People's Party of Canada;

Here is the popular vote projection:




Here is the seat projection. The threshold of majority at the House of Commons is 170 seats.




You can also view the interactive map of the projection by clicking the following image:

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Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to info@Qc125.com.


Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à info@Qc125.com.