Nanos Tracker Update: LPC soars in Ontario, Leads Nationally

The Nanos tracker has been updated (November 23rd update). The Liberals are stable at 40% nationally and the Conservative are back above the 30% threshold.

The NDP continues its free fall and is now at 15% nationally.

While the LPC is stable across the country, Nanos now measures a considerable gap between the Liberals and Conservative in Ontario. Indeed, in the past month, NDP support has dropped significantly in Ontario resulting in a Liberals surge.

Will it last? Only time will tell, but with the Liberals already comfortably ahead in the Atlantic and Québec, a double-digit lead in Ontario would make a Conservative victory mathematically impossible.

Obviously, we are 11 months away from the election. But Andrew Scheer and his team have to start deploying their Ontario and Québec strategy, if it exists, quickly if they hope to take power next year.

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Details of the Nanos tracker here.

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à