Beauce: Maxime Bernier and CPC Candidate Neck and Neck

A poll of the federal district of Beauce, where Maxime Bernier hopes to win his first election as People's Party of Canada leader, has been published this morning by Mainstreet Research. Mainstreet was on the field November 10th and 11th and collected a sample of 616 Beauce voters. The margin of error is ±4%.

Here are the results among decided and leaning voters: conservative candidate Richard Lehoux (38%) and Maxime Bernier (35%) are in a statistical tie.

Unsurpringly, the Liberals, the Bloc, and the NDP will not be competitive in next year's election in Beauce. However, this Conservative stronghold now looks almost evenly split between Maxime Bernier and the Conservatives.

In 2015, Maxime Bernier won his riding of Beauce with almost 60% of the popular vote, more than 35 points ahead of the Liberals.

This poll will be taken into consideration for the next 338Canada projections, which will be published later this week. Stay tuned.

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Here is the poll's full report.

Philippe J. Fournier is the creator of Qc125 and 338Canada. He teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. For information or media request, please write to

Philippe J. Fournier est le créateur de Qc125 et 338Canada. Il est professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal. Pour toute information ou pour une demande d'entrevue médiatique, écrivez à